The goal of the World Modelers program is to develop technology that will enable analysts to rapidly build models to analyze questions relevant to national and global security. World Modelers aims to develop technologies to facilitate analyses that are comprehensive, targeted, causal, quantitative, probabilistic, and timely enough to recommend specific actions that could avert crises.
Food insecurity is a growing problem in many parts of the world where societies struggle to feed growing populations. Food insecurity has both humanitarian challenges and regional security ramifications, as food shortages can result in migration/displacement and conflict between peoples. Food insecurity will be the initial use case for the World Modelers program, and World Modelers technologies will enable researchers to efficiently and rigorously perform analytic tasks such as “Analyze food insecurity in each district of South Sudan two years into the future.”
World Modelers technologies will be applied to additional—and increasingly varied—use cases as they mature through a sequence of program phases. Questions for analysis will typically be framed at subnational scales and look one to five years into the future, although the factors that influence outcomes of interest might operate on larger spatial and temporal scales. The subnational focus of World Modelers reflects the changing nature of conflict and security, which, increasingly, plays out in cities and districts.
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