Defense Advanced Research Projects AgencyTagged Content List

Forecasting

Predicting how systems will behave

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June 8, 2018,
Executive Conference Center
DARPA’s Defense Sciences Office (DSO) is hosting a Proposers Day to provide information to potential proposers on the objectives of the Systematizing Confidence in Open Research and Evidence (SCORE) program. SCORE aims to develop and deploy automated tools to assign "confidence scores" to different social and behavioral science (SBS) research results and claims. Confidence scores are quantitative measures that should enable a DoD consumer of SBS research to understand the degree to which a particular claim or result is likely to be reproducible or replicable. The event will be available via a live webcast for those who would like to participate remotely.
The Department of Defense (DoD) often leverages social and behavioral science (SBS) research to design plans, guide investments, assess outcomes, and build models of human social systems and behaviors as they relate to national security challenges in the human domain. However, a number of recent empirical studies and meta-analyses have revealed that many SBS results vary dramatically in terms of their ability to be independently reproduced or replicated, which could have real-world implications for DoD’s plans, decisions, and models. To help address this situation, DARPA’s Systematizing Confidence in Open Research and Evidence (SCORE) program aims to develop and deploy automated tools to assign "confidence scores" to different SBS research results and claims.
Program Manager
Dr. Bartlett Russell joined DARPA as a program manager in April of 2019. Her work focuses on understanding the variability of human cognitive and social behavior to enable the decision-maker, improve analytics, and generate autonomous and AI systems that enable human adaptability. Prior to joining DARPA, Russell was a senior program manager and lead of the human systems and autonomy research area in Lockheed Martin’s Advanced Technology Laboratories.